~ Update from Space Weather~ Heads UP~ Chance of X Flares Earth Directed [1]

SPRAWLING SUNSPOT, CHANCE OF FLARES: Sunspot AR1897 has evolved into a sprawling archipelago of magnetic islands with more than a dozen dark cores scattered across 350,000 km of solar "terrain." This complex region has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares, and it is directly facing Earth:

[2]

Any eruptions from AR1897 this weekend would likely be geoeffective. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of M-class [3] solar flares and a 15% chance of X-flares on Nov. 16th. Solar flare alerts: text [4], voice [5]

Solar wind
speed: 539.8 km/sec
density: 2.3 protons/cm³
explanation [6] | more data [7]
Updated: Today at 1917 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C3 1712 UT Nov16
24-hr: M1 0749 UT Nov16
explanation [8] | more data [9]
Updated: Today at: 1900 UT

Daily Sun: 16 Nov 13

[10]

Sprawling sunspot AR1897 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class [3] solar flares. . Credit: SDO/HMI