~ Space Weather Update~ THE CME HAS ARRIVED [1]
Commentary from the Press~ As a Result of this Hitting the Planet you may have increased Heart Rates, Nervousness, Anxiety, Anxious or Vertigo! Love The Earth Allies
THE CME HAS ARRIVED: As expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Jan. 9th (around 20:00 UTC or 3 p.m. EST). Although the initial impact was weaker than expected, geomagnetic storms could still develop as Earth passes through the CME's wake. NOAA forecasters are sticking by their prediction of a G3-class [2] event on Jan. 9-10, which means high-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras. Aurora alerts: text [3], voice [4].
HUGE SUNSPOT, CHANCE OF FLARES: The source of the incoming CME is AR1944, one of the largest sunspots of the current solar cycle. The active region sprawls across more than 200,000 km of solar terrain and contains dozens of dark cores. The largest could swallow Earth three times over. AR1944 is circled in this Jan. 9th snapshot from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:
[5]
As the image shows, the sunspot is almost directly facing Earth. This makes it a threat for geoeffective eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate an 80% chance of M-class [6] flares and a 50% chance of X-flares [6] on Jan. 9th. Solar flare alerts: text [3], voice [4].
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Solar wind
speed: 406.0 km/sec
density: 3.4 protons/cm3
explanation [7] | more data [8]
Updated: Today at 2217 UT
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X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C1 1859 UT Jan09
24-hr: C1 0216 UT Jan09
explanation [9] | more data [10]
Updated: Today at: 2200 UT
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Daily Sun: 09 Jan 14
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[11]
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Giant sunspot AR1944 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class [6] solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
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Sunspot number: 178
What is the sunspot number? [12]
Updated 09 Jan 2014
Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 821 days
Typical Solar Min: 486 days
Update 09 Jan 2014
The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 195 sfu
explanation [13] | more data [14]
Updated 09 Jan 2014
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Current Auroral Oval:
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[15] |
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/POES
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Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3 quiet
explanation [16] | more data [17]
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Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 12.0 nT
Bz: 2.2 nT north
explanation [18] | more data [19]
Updated: Today at 2217 UT
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Coronal Holes: 08 Jan 14
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[20]
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Solar wind flowing from this emerging coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan. 12-13. Credit: SDO/AIA.